TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL PATTERNS OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC RESILIENCE IN CHINA
คำสำคัญ:
Agricultural Economic Resilience, Entropy Method, Spatiotemporal Evolution, Spatial Autocorrelation, Chinaบทคัดย่อ
Agricultural economic resilience is vital for national food security and sustainable agricultural development. Using panel data from 31 Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2022, this study constructs an Agricultural Economic Resilience (AER) evaluation framework based on resistance, adaptability, and transformative capacity. The entropy method was applied to measure provincial AER levels and analyze their temporal evolution, regional disparities, and spatial correlations.
The results indicated that China’s agricultural economic resilience generally improved over time, while significant regional differences remained. Central China exhibited relatively high resilience, eastern regions showed steady enhancement, and western regions displayed considerable development potential. Moreover, AER demonstrated significant positive spatial autocorrelation, with "high-high" clusters concentrated in eastern coastal areas and "low-low" clusters mainly located in western regions and parts of Northeast China.
These findings provided empirical evidence for regionally differentiated agricultural policies and the enhancement of agricultural security
เอกสารอ้างอิง
Darnhofer, I. (2014). Resilience and why it matters for farm management. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 41(3), 461-484.https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbu012
Folke, C. (2006). Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social-ecological systems analyses. Global Environmental Change, 16(3), 253-267.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04.002
Guo, H., Chen, J., & Pan, C. (2021). Assessment on agricultural drought vulnerability and spatial heterogeneity study in China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(9), 4449.
https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18094449
Holling, C. S. (1973). Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 4(1), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245
Liu, Y., & Xu, W. (2025). Study on the impact of digital finance development on agricultural resilience. Journal of Chaohu University, 27(3), 29-39.https://doi.org/10.12152/j.issn.1672-2868.2025.03.004
Martin, R., & Sunley, P. (2015). On the notion of regional economic resilience: conceptualization and explanation. Journal of Economic Geography, 15(1), 1-42.https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbu015
Sun, Z., Kan, R., & Chen, J. (2025). The impact of the digital economy on agricultural economic resilience. Journal of Northeastern University (Social Science Edition), 27(4), 37.
Walker, B., Holling, C. S., Carpenter, S. R., & Kinzig, A. (2004). Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology and society, 9(2).http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss2/art5/
Zhao, W., & Xu, X. (2023). Effect and mechanism of digital economy on the resilience of agricultural. Journal of South China Agricultural University (Social Science Edition), 22(2), 87-96.https://doi.org/10.7671/j.issn.1672-0202.2023.02.008
