Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Revenue and Adaptation Strategies of Farmers in Northeastern Thailand

บทคัดย่อ

     Northeastern Thailand is vulnerable to climate change due to resource degradation as well as geographic and socioeconomic factors. This article aims to analyze the trend of climate change and to assess its impact on farm net revenue as well as, farmer's perceptions and adaptation strategies in the region. The results show that in the Northeast the temperature is likely to increase. The rainfall increases in dry season, but decreases during the rainy season. To analyze the impacts of climate change, estimated marginal impacts suggest that due to temperature rise in summer and early rainy season declines farm net revenue. Increased rainfall in summer and early rainy season on the other hand would lead growing farm net revenue, an increase in rainfall at the end of the rainy season will affect farm net revenue negatively. Farmers in both, where irrigation and rainfed areas have strategies for adapting to climate change by labor and agricultural resources management included water, soils and land management. This study suggests that agencies related to the natural resources and agricultural sectors should support farmers on adequate cropping techniques and agricultural resource management while at the same to the encouraging farmers to plan adaptation to climate change.