PHEIC, Investor Sentiment, Vaccination, and Stock Market: Experiment on COVID-19

Main Article Content

Lin Xiao
Vesarach Aumeboonsuke

Abstract

The study aims to research the association among the PHEIC, investor sentiment, vaccination, and stock market using COVID-19 related data as the variables. The data includes seven variables from Mar 2021 to Oct 2022 and is analyzed by the VAR method through R programming. The results show a valid association and long-term co-integration relationship among the COVID-19 cases, investor sentiment, COVID-19 vaccination, and the stock market. During the impulse response function analysis, it was found that when the COVID-19 cases, investor sentiment, and COVID-19 vaccination respectively received the impulse, the rest variables showed rapid and significant response except the market turnover rate and market index return. This study contributes to the knowledge of behavior finance during the pandemic. The study takes most all the potential impact variables, determining the importance of investor sentiment and COVID-19 vaccination during the pandemic. This study enables investors and policymakers to better understand PHEIC for effective decision-making, risk management and sustainable protection.

Article Details

How to Cite
Xiao, L., & Aumeboonsuke, V. (2024). PHEIC, Investor Sentiment, Vaccination, and Stock Market: Experiment on COVID-19 . NIDA Development Journal, 64(1), 30–65. https://doi.org/10.14456/ndj.2024.2
Section
Articles

References

Al-Awadhi, A. M., Alsaifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A. M., & Alhammadi, S. (2020). Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100326.

Altig;, D., Baker;, S., Barrero;, J. M., Bloom;, N., ;, P. B., Chen;, S., . . . Thwaites, G. (2020). Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Public Economics, 191, 104274.

Au, K., Chan, F., Wang, D., & Vertinsky, I. (2003). Mood in foreign exchange trading: Cognitive processes and performance. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 91(2), 322–338.

Bhuyan, R., Lin, E. C., & Ricci, P. F. (2010). Asian stock markets and the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) epidemic: implications for health risk management. International Journal of Environment & Health, 4(1), 40-56.

Bower, G. H. (1991). Mood congruity of social judgments.

Chan, K. F., Chen, Z., Wen, Y., & Xu, T. (2022). COVID-19 vaccines and global stock markets. Finance Research Letters 47, 102774.

Chen, M. H., Jang, S. C., & Kim, W. G. (2007). The impact of the SARS outbreak on Taiwanese hotel stock performance: An event-study approach. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 26(1), 200-212.

Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427-431.

Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072.

Forgas, J. P., & Bower, G. H. (1987). Mood effects on person-perception judgments. Journal of Personality & Social Psychology, 53(1), 53-60.

Kapar, B., Buigut, S., & Rana, F. (2021). Global evidence on early effects of COVID‐19 on stock markets. Review of Financial Economics.

Lerner, J. S., Li, Y., Valdesolo, P., & Kassam, K. S. (2015). Emotion and Decision Making. Annual Review of Psychology, 66, 799-823.

Luce, M. F., Payne, J. W., & Bettman, J. R. (2000). Coping with Unfavorable Attribute Values in Choice. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 81(2), 274-299.

Lwin, M. O., Sheldenkar, A., Lu, J., Schulz, P. J., Shin, W., Panchapakesan, C., . . . Yang, Y. (2022). The Evolution of Public Sentiments During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Case Comparisons of India, Singapore, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and the United States. JMIR Infodemiology 2(1), 31473.

Mei-Ping, C., Chien-Chiang, L., Yu-Hui, L., & Wen-Yi, C. (2018). Did the S.A.R.S. epidemic weaken the integration of Asian stock markets? Evidence from smooth time-varying cointegration analysis. Ekonomska Istraivanja / Economic Research, 31(1), 908-926.

Meléndez, J. C., Satorres, E., Reyes-Olmedo, M., Delhom, I., Real, E., & Lora, Y. (2020). Emotion recognition changes in a confinement situation due to COVID-19. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 72, 101518.

Morris, William, & N. (2000). Some Thoughts About Mood and It's Regulation. Psychological Inquiry.

Nippani, S., & Washer, K. M. (2004). SARS: a non-event for affected countries' stock markets? Applied Financial Economics, 14(15), 1105-1110.

Pavlova, I., & Boyrie, M. E. d. (2022). ESG ETFs and the COVID-19 stock market crash of 2020: Did clean funds fare better? Finance Research Letters, 44, 102051.

R, S., Sinha, A., & Mandal, S. K. (2021). COVID-19 related uncertainty, investor sentiment and stock returns in India. Economic and Political Weekly, 57.

Samitas, A., Kampouris, E., & Polyzosa, S. (2022). Covid-19 pandemic and spillover effects in stock markets: A financial network approach. Elsevier Public Health Emergency Collection 80, 102005.

Schell, D., Wang, M., & Huynh, T. (2020). This time is indeed different: A study on global market reactions to public health crisis. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100349.

Schwarz. (1990). Feelings as information: Informational and motivational functions of affective states. Paper presented at the Handbook of Motivation & Cognition: Foundations of Social Behavior.

Schwarz, & Clore. (1983). Mood, misattribution, and judgments of well-being: Informative and directive functions of affective states. Journal of Personality & Social Psychology, 45(3), 513-523.

Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1-48.

Singh, C., Imam, T., Wibowo, S., & Grandhi, S. (2022). A Deep Learning Approach for Sentiment Analysis of COVID-19 Reviews. Applied Sciences, 12(8), 3709.

Sun, L., & Shi, W. (2022). Investor Sentiment and Stock Market Reactions to COVID-19: Evidence from China·. Discrete dynamics in nature and society.

Sun, Y., Bao, Q., & Lu, Z. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak, investor sentiment, and medical portfolio: Evidence from China, Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, and U.S. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 65, 101463.

Topcu, M., & Gulal, O. S. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101691.

Wang;, J., Fan;, Y., Palacios;, J., Chai;, Y., Guetta-Jeanrenaud;, N., Obradovich;, N., . . . Zheng, S. (2022). Global evidence of expressed sentiment alterations during the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature Human Behaviour 6(3), 349–358.

WHO. (2020). Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) Weekly Epidemiological Updates and Monthly Operational Updates. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports